Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000115 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000215
2025-11-16 0.000096 0.000113 0.000132 0.000155 0.000182 0.000214 0.000253
2025-11-23 0.000082 0.000101 0.000125 0.000154 0.000191 0.000236 0.000294
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000093 0.000119 0.000154 0.000200 0.000258 0.000338
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000085 0.000113 0.000153 0.000206 0.000277 0.000379
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000081 0.000111 0.000155 0.000217 0.000303 0.000431
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000076 0.000108 0.000155 0.000225 0.000325 0.000480
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000071 0.000104 0.000154 0.000231 0.000344 0.000525
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000068 0.000102 0.000157 0.000241 0.000371 0.000584
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000065 0.000100 0.000157 0.000249 0.000393 0.000639
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000156 0.000255 0.000413 0.000690
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000155 0.000259 0.000431 0.000741
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000056 0.000092 0.000155 0.000266 0.000454 0.000802
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000089 0.000154 0.000270 0.000471 0.000857
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000153 0.000275 0.000493 0.000920
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000048 0.000085 0.000154 0.000282 0.000518 0.000992
2026-03-01 0.000025 0.000046 0.000082 0.000152 0.000286 0.000536 0.001053
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000045 0.000082 0.000154 0.000296 0.000569 0.001145
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000155 0.000304 0.000596 0.001229
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000041 0.000078 0.000154 0.000308 0.000616 0.001301
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000040 0.000078 0.000156 0.000319 0.000652 0.001408
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000039 0.000077 0.000156 0.000326 0.000680 0.001501
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000038 0.000075 0.000156 0.000331 0.000704 0.001588